Ski jumpers are travelling to Italy, where they will continue with this season World Cup events after they finished with the Four Hills Tournament on 6th of January in Bischofshofen. The event in Val di Fiemme will be the 12th ski jumping event of the season and the first time they will compete in Italy.
Looking back at the Four Hill Tournament which took place from 30th of December to 6th of January, when men competed in Oberstdorf, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Innsbruck and finally in Bischofshofen, we saw a historic win for Ryoyu Kobayashi, who won all 4 events and ultimately the tournament itself. Ryoyu Kobayashi has been a dominant force this season, winning 8 out of 11 events, only failing to do so in Wisla (3rd place), Nizhny Tagil (3rd place) and Engelberg (7th place). That means, he stood on the podium in all except one event thus far and not surprisingly is leading the overall standings by impressive 427 points. At the second place in the overall standings, it’s Piotr Zyla (529 points) and Kamil Stoch at 3rd place (504 points).
The upcoming event will take place at Val di Fiemme, more specifically at Trampolino Giuseppe Dal Ben ski jump arena. The Giuseppe Dal Ben venue is located in Predazzo, Val di Fiemme in northern Italy. It has opened in 1989 and has hosted World Cup ski jumping events (11 occasions), FIS Nordic World Ski Championships (1991.2003.2013) and 2013 Winter Universiade. This year will be the first time men will compete in Predazzo after almost 7 years, with the last event taking place back in February 2012. The venue has 2 ski jumping hills (HS 135 and HS 106), however, we will see both events taking place on HS 135. Current record holder at the hill is Eric Frenzel with 138.5m in 2013. Now let’s check the favourites and our predictions for the upcoming ski jumping event.
After claiming his first title in Four Hills Tournament on last Sunday, Ryoyu Kobayashi became the 3rd jumper to win all 4 events in the Four Hills Tournament, after Sven Hannawald (2001/02) and Kamil Stoch (2017/18). With 5 consecutive wins in the World Cup this season, Ryoyu Kobayashi will look to extend the impressive run today, adding his 6th in a row. If he manages to win in Italy, he would join Ahonen, Hautamaki, Morgenstern and Schlierenzauer with a record 6 wins in a row. No man has ever won 7 in a row, and we with the form Kobayashi is in, we just might see the record be broken. This season, Kobayashi has won 8 out of 11 events. Comparing to Stoch performance last season, he won 9. The last jumper who won more than 9 individual World Cup events was Peter Prevc in 2015/16 when he won 15. Is he can continue with his performances we just might be looking at the best Japanese ski jumper in the country’s history, as he has broken the Japanese record and won 6 individual events in a single season.
Markus Eisenbichler finishes 2nd in the Four Hills tournament 62.1 points behind Kobayashi in the final standings. All of his 2 podium finishes came from the Four Hills Tournament, where he finishes 2nd in Oberstdorf as well as Garmisch-Partenkirchen. With Stephan Leyhe finishing 3rd in the Four Hills Tournament, this season marked the first time in 28 years when 2 German athletes finished on the podium in the Four Hills Tournament. The last time Germany achieved that was in 1990/1991 when Weißflog and Thoma finished 1st and 3rd. Eisenbichler has now 6 individual podium finishes in the World Cup event without a win.
This season, Stefan Kraft finished on the podium in 3 of the four events in the Four Hills Tournament. He was 3rd in Oberstdorf, 2nd in Innsbruck and 3rd in Bischofshofen. In his career, he has achieved 47 individual podium finishes and 12 wins, however, he has not won an event since March 2017 in Planica. Looking at all the Austrian athletes, Austria failed to win the last 33 World Cup events since the last time Kraft won in Planica. This is the 2nd longest win-less streak after Austrian 45 successive jumps without a win from February 2000 till January 2002. Since the last season, Kraft finished on the podium 11 times without claiming a win and he will be looking to change that in Val di Fiemme.
Last season’s champion, Kamil Stoch, does not look like himself this season.. well at least his results don’t show it. He was the Four Hills, Raw Air, overall and Olympic champion, but somehow fails to perform as good this season. The last time the World Cup event took place in Val di Fiemme, Stoch won it (5th February 2012), however, we have our doubts he will manage to repeat his success this season. With only 3 podium finishes this season; 2nd and 3rd in Ruka and 3rd in Engelberg, this season is not looking promising for him.
|Market||Prediction||Pinnacle Odds||Bet 365 Odds||Stake||Won / Lost|
|Outright||Ryoyu Kobayashi||/||1.53||3 Units||Won|
|Top 6 finish||Stefan Kraft||/||1.40||2 Units||Won|
|Top 6 finish||Robert Johansson||/||1.72||1 Unit||Lost|