FIS Ski Jumping World Cup - Zakopane (POL)

FIS Ski Jumping World Cup – Zakopane (POL)

The German team has once again won the event in Zakopane after losing to Poland in 2017/18 season, which prevented them from winning here for the 2nd time in a row. The team of Karl Geiger, Markus Eisenbichler, David Seigel and Stephan Leyhe has won the team event in Zakopane in a nail-biting contest, against their neighbours Austria and their team; Daniel Huber, Jan Hoerl, Michael Hayboeck and Stefan Kraft. It was an entertaining event, where we even saw a new hill record being set not once but 2 times, sadly the crash of David Seigel overshadowed the whole competition.

Not only did we see 2 hill records being set; first by Markus Eisenbichler (143m) and after Dawid Kubacki (143.5m) but also the disqualification of Johann Andre Forfang and as mentioned the crash of David Siegel in the final round. There are no official reports on his condition as of now, however from what we have seen his knee is not looking good and will most likely be out for a prolonged time. On the bright side, I must mention the superb performance from Austrian youngster Jan Hoerl. He got the spot in the team as a replacement for Manuel Fettner and arguably justified the decision of the coach. His 2 jumps of 134.5 and 133.5 played a big part in Austrian team success yesterday and we can expect him to appear in the next team event as well. After the event, he stated: “It was a very cool competition today, it was my first time competing in a team event. And to be on the podium in this atmosphere here is really cool. I showed two good jumps today and I think the others are also satisfied with their jumps”.

As mentioned, the German team won the event with 1157.5 points, while Austria ended 2nd with 1157.4 points. The third place went to the Polish team (1117.2 points), after the deciding jump from Dawid Kubacki who set a new record of the hill with a 143.5m jump. At the 4th place, we saw Slovenia who accumulated 1103.8 points, followed by Japan. The current individual event leader Ryoyu Kobayashi could not perform as we expected, as he only managed to jump 132m and 135m. He was however still the best jumper in his team, but sadly it was not enough to get Japan in the top 3. The Czech Republic team ended 5th with 1028 points. Roman Koudelka was their best jumper with his 138m and 135.5m jumps. It has become clear now, that he is getting better with each passing event. If he manages to continue with his good performances, I would not be surprised if he ends up as a real contender for the podium spots in the upcoming individual events. Swiss team ended 7th, while Norway once again finished last due to yet another disqualification of their jumper Johann Andre Forfang. Quite ironically, as I did mention they are expected to be extra careful not to repeat their mistake from the first team event. I guess I was wrong. With the team event behind us, the athletes are getting ready for the 14th individual event of the season, which will take place on 20th January at the same hill as a team event in Zakopane. So far this season, Ryoyu Kobayashi accumulated 1092 points which places him at the first spot in the overall standings far in front of 2nd placed Kamil Stoch who has “only” 624 points and 3rd placed Piotr Zyla with 591 points. At this point I must mention 3 out of the top 4 ski jumpers in the Overall standings are Polish; Kamil Stoch, Piotr Zyla and Dawid Kubacki, which shows how strong Polish team is, however they still failed to win in Zakopane yesterday.

The last individual event took place in Cal di Fiemme, where we saw Dawid Kubacki winning his first event of the season. He was followed by Stefan Kraft and Kamil Stoch at the 3rd place. Ryoyu Kobayashi finished 7th which meant his 6 consecutive wins streak came to an end despite the fact he won in Val di Fiemme only a day prior. Last season we saw 2 Slovenian ski jumpers on the podium in Zakopane. Anze Semencic won the first individual event of his career, however, failed to win an event ever since. His best result since his win in Zakopane was 10th place in Val di Fiemme this season. Andreas Wellinger finished 2nd, while Peter Prevc ended 3rd. Now let’s check the favourites to win the individual event in Zakopane and our predictions.

After his 6 consecutive wins, his streak came to an end in Val di Fiemme where he finished 7th. In the upcoming event in Zakopane, Ryoyu Kobayashi will be looking to win his 10th event of the season which would only cement his position at the top spot in the overall standings. In total, Kobayashi won 9 out of 13 individual events this season, which is just as many as Kamil Stoch won in the whole last season. The last ski jumper who won more than 9 individual events in one season was Peter Prevc who accumulated 15 victories in 2015/16. Among Japanese ski jumpers, there are only 2 other who claimed more than 9 individual wins in their career; Noriaki Kasai (17), Kazuyoshi Funaki (15). The only 2 events this season where Kobayashi did not finish on the podium were Engelberg and Val di Fiemme, which means he accumulated 11 podium finishes up until now. In comparison, Kamil Stoch had 13 podium finishes last season.

Kamil Stoch is currently 2nd in the overall standings, over 400 points behind Ryoyu Kobayashi. Despite that, he is still searching for his 1st win of the season to add to his 31 individual World Cup victories, which is 6th most in all-time standings. In the last 2 events in Val di Fiemme, Stoch finished 3rd on both days. If he manages to finish on the podium once more, he would achieve 3 consecutive podiums for the first time since December 2017-January 2018 where he has 6 consecutive podium finishes. In Zakopane, Stoch ended on the podium 9 times, which is the most among all ski jumpers. On the other side, he has won 4 times in Zakopane which is 2nd most behind Gregor Schlierenzauer.

After setting a new hill record, we simply can’t forget to mention Dawid Kubacki. He finished on the podium in each of the last 3 individual events. He was 2nd in Bischofshofen, 2nd in Val di Fiemme and won the second event in Val di Fiemme. The win in Val di Fiemme was also his first individual win in his career. If he manages to repeat his success today, he would become the first man other than Kobayashi to win 2 successive individual World Cup events since Stoch won both events in Planica last season. He could also become the 5th Polish ski jumper to win multiple Individual World Cup events after Adam Malysz (39), Stoch (31), Pjotr FIjas (3) and Maciej Kot (2).

Market Prediction Pinnacle Odds Bet 365 Odds Stake Won / Lost
Top 6 finish Ryoyu Kobayashi / 1.50 1 Unit Lost