The first FIS Ski World Cup Alpine Combined race of the 2018/19 season is behind us and despite questionable weather forecast it ended as planned.
The race was won by Marco Schwarz, who skied an impressive downhill run, managing to defend the lead he got from slalom part of the race. This was his 2nd World Cup win in his career, which came only 18 days after his first in a city event in Oslo. He could have also finished high in Zagreb where he was leading after the first run, but he failed to finish the race. With his good performances, he is currently 6th in the Overall standings which is a great accomplishment and he will surely hope he can continue putting up good results in the upcoming races. Victor Muffat-Jeandet came in 2nd, which was his 2nd podium finish in Wengen after he finished 1st last season. He was considered a favourite to win here, which is not surprising as he has, as mentioned, won last season and is the Olympic medalist in the discipline. With the 2nd spot finish, he earned himself the 8th podium finish in his career and the first podium finish this season. His teammate Alexis Pinturault finished 3rd, over a second behind Marco Schwarz (+1.12). The 3rd place was his 50th podium in his career, and despite only finishing 3rd, he can be happy to reach the milestone.
On the 19th of January, men will compete in a Downhill event, which will be the 5th Downhill race this season. The last time men competed in a Downhill race was on December 28th in Bormio. The mentioned event was won by Dominik Paris, who went on to win the Super-G event a day later as well. He finished the Downhill race 0.36s in front of his teammate Christof Innerhofer and 0.52s in front of last season Downhill champion Beat Feuz.
Looking at how the athletes performed in Downhill event in Wengen in 2018, we saw no other than Beat Feuz winning his 2nd Downhill race of the season. He ended the race 0.18s in front of Aksel Lund Svindal and 0.67s in front of Matthias Mayer. Coming into this race, Beat Feuz has only 1 Downhill race win in 2018/19 season and maybe we will witness the history repeat itself today if he manages to win here for the 2nd time in a row.
Beat Feuz has achieved an impressive 8 podiums in the last 9 World Cup Downhill races, which includes 3 podiums in the last 3 races; 3rd in Bormio, 3rd in Val Gardena and 1st in Beaver Creek. The only exception was the Lake Louise race, where he finished 6th. As for his performances in Wengen, Feuz has won twice; in 2012 and 2018 and will look to make it 3 today, which will also be his 2nd consecutive win at this venue. Wengen is one of the 3 ski resorts where Beat Feuz has won multiple times; the other 2 being St. Moritz and Kvitfjell where he won 2 times. In his career, Feuz has won 8 Downhill events, which means there are only 2 other active male skiers who have won more. Those two are Aksel Lund Svindal (14) and Dominik Paris (9).
Dominik Paris has won the most recent Downhill event in Bormio, to which he added the win in Super-G at the same venue. In his career he has won 11 times, 9 out of which were a Downhill race wins. This season alone, he stood on the podium 4 times; 3rd in Lake Louise Downhill, 3rd in Beaver Creek Super-G, and as mentioned 1st in both Downhill and Super-G events in Bormio. If he wins today, he would become the first man after Aksel Lund Svindal to win 2 consecutive Downhill events. Svindal managed to do so in December 2017 (Beaver Creek – Val Gardena). We could see him winning today, but we will rather bet on Paris to finish on the podium once more, especially with relatively high odds offered on that to happen.
Christof Innerhofer was the last Italian man to collect 3 World Cup wins in one season (2012/2013). This season he has achieved a podium finish 3 times, he was 2nd in Lake Louise (DH), Val Gardena (SG) and Bormio (DH). The last time Innerhofer won a race was back on 23 February 2013. Since then he achieved 7 2nd places; 4 in Super-G and 3 in Downhill. Last season he did not finish the race in Wengen. Much like Paris, Innerhofer has high odds on him finishing on the podium. With 9.00 on Innerhofer to finish top 3, the odds are far too good to let go, especially after taking into consideration his recent performances.
Among the top 4 favourites to win the upcoming event, Aksel Lund Svindal has a total of 36 World Cup victories to his name, 14 of which came from Downhill events. In Wengen, he has finished on the podium 3 times in the last 4 races. Last season he was 2nd, while in 2016 he has won the race. Keep in mind, the 2017 race was cancelled. With his 14 Downhill victories, he is only 1 shy of reaching Franz Heinzer and Hermann Maier at the 4th place all-time among men. Aksel Lund Svindal was the Downhill champion in 2013 and 2014 and 2nd in 2016 as well as in the last season. At the moment he is 7th in the Downhill standings, with 150 points, which is 110 behind Beat Feuz and 46 behind 3rd placed Dominik Paris.
|Market||Prediction||Pinnacle Odds||Bet 365 Odds||Stake||Won / Lost|
|Outright||Vincent Kriechmayr||/||9.00||1 Unit||Won|
|Podium Finish||Vincent Kriechmayr||/||3.00||2 Units||Won|
|Podium Finish||Dominik Paris||/||3.00||1 Unit||Lost|
|Podium Finish||Christof Innerhofer||/||9.00||1 Unit||Lost|