The Super-G race in St. Moritz will be women’s 8th event of the season and the 2nd Super-G race, with the most recent also being the last race in Lake Louise on 2nd of December.
Looking at how ladies performed in their most recent Super-G event in Lake Louise, it was Mikaela Shiffrin, who won. She was 0.77s faster than 2nd placed Ragnhild Mowinckel and 0.83s faster than Viktoria Rebensburg. This was a historic win for Shiffrin, who became the first athlete in history to win in all 6 disciplines (Slalom, Parallel, Giant Slalom, Super-G, Downhill and Alpine Combined). It also marked her 46th World Cup win in her career. The second-placed Ragnhild Mowinckel achieved her 5th podium and 2nd podium in Super-G events. This was also her 2nd podium finish this season, with the first one coming from the 2nd place in Killington. The third-placed Viktoria Rebensburg got her first podium finish of the season. This was the 41st podium finish and 5th Super-G podium in her career.
Going back a year, ladies competed in St. Moritz Super-G event on 9th December 2017, which was also the only race that took place at this venue due to bad weather which saw the second Super-G event and both Alpine combined races being cancelled. In the mentioned race, it was Jasmine Flury who celebrated the 1st win of her career, with an overall time of 1:02.59, which was only 0.10s faster than Michelle Gisin and 0.16s faster than 2017/18 Super-G champion Tina Weirather. This year, we are expecting better weather conditions in St.Moritz, so both Super-G and Parallel slalom should take place as planned. Now let’s take a look at the favourites and our predictions for the 2nd Super-G event of the season in St.Moritz.
With her first Super-G event win in her career in Lake Louise, Mikaela Shiffrin will go down in history as the only skier (men and women) to win in all 6 disciplines at least once. Now, with her 46 World Cup wins, she is tied 4th in all-time wins with Renate Götschl, still, she is 9 wins short of reaching Veri Schneider record of 55, which will put her at the 3rd place of all-time wins. With another Super-G event in front of us, Mikaela Shiffrin can become the first women to win 2 back-to-back Super-G races since Tina Weirather in March and December 2017 (Aspen and Lake Louise). I believe she could finish high, maybe, just maybe she can win again, but the odds offered on Shiffrin to win in St.Moritz are too low considering the competition she will go against.
Last years Super-G champion Tina Weirather, with 86 points to spare in front of Lara Gut is back, looking for her 3rd consecutive Super-G title. She finished at a disappointing 15th place in Lake Louise, which was miles away from what we have expected from her. And quite frankly, she most likely feels the same. However, every skier or athlete can have a bad day when a simple mistake can cost you to drop several places in the final standings. But from a top class skier like Tina Weirather, we can expect to keep the “mistakes” at a minimum, which in other words means I expect her to finish high in St.Moritz. Last season she was the only woman to win multiple Super-G events (Lake Louise and Crans-Montana). With 7 Super-G wins in her career, she is only 1 short of reaching Hilde Gerg at 7th place of all-time standings. I see no reason why Tina wouldn’t finish in the top 3 and even go on to win. With odds of 6.00 offered for Tina Weirather to win, we will gladly take the bet.
Federica Brignone has achieved a total of 3 podium finishes in Super-G, 2 of which were 1st places (2016 in Soldeu and 2018 in Bad Kleinkirchheim). With two 1st places, she is among the most successful Italian skiers in Super-G, only behind Isolde Kostner (3) and Karen Putzer (4). In the last race in Lake Louise, Brignone finished 12th, +1.16s behind Shiffrin and 0.33s short of achieving the podium. This year, she has already achieved 2 podiums; 2nd place in Sölden and 1st place in Killington (both Giant slaloms). As for the next race, she finished 4th in St.Moritz last season, +0.34s behind Jasmine Flury and 0.18s behind the podium. As for Super-G standings, she finished last season 6th. She is not among the favourites to win in St. Moritz, but she is more than capable of achieving the podium despite her underwhelming result in Lake Louise.
Ragnhild Mowinckel finished 2nd in the opening Super-G event in Lake Louise, 0.77s behind Mikaela Shiffrin. In her career, she has not won a Super-G event yet but did stand on the podium 2 times (Val’d Isere 2018 and the most recent race in Lake Louise). With a win here, she would become the 3rd Norwegian woman to win a Super-G race after Merete Fjeldavlie in 1992 and Ingeborg Helen in 1996. Last season, she finished 10th in St.Moritz, 0.93s behind Jasmine Flury and 0.77s short of reaching the podium. With odds of 6.00 for Mowinckel to reach the podium, the odds are slightly too high. Yes, she did not win a Super-G event yet, but she did put up a good performance in the recent event. I expect her to continue performing on that level and if she does so a podium finish would not be surprising.
|Market||Prediction||Pinnacle Odds||Bet 365 Odds||Stake||Won / Lost|
|Outright||Tina Weirather||4.77||6.00||2 Units||Lost|
|Podium Finish||Federica Brignone||/||6.00||1 Units||Lost|
|Podium Finish||Ragnhild Mowinckel||/||6.00||1 Units||Lost|